Overall growth in North America (+2.5%) and Europe (+5.2%) was more modest, although North America reported a strong 11.5 percent increase in international passengers, which in part reflects the business development plans of North American carriers. Both Africa (+9%) and the Middle East (+15%) delivered robust performances in May. As expected, the significant decline of air traffic in April caused by the Iceland volcano eruption did not have a lasting effect, and air traffic has resumed the growth path it had been following since August 2009.

Commenting on these results, ACI Director of Economics Andreas Schimm says, “Traffic is without a doubt on the rise. But there are a few considerations to keep in mind when analysing the figures. The Latin America-Caribbean region is comparing against low results in May 2009 when the outbreak of the H1N1 virus significantly dampened air travel demand across the region. The ensuing ripple effect in North America and Asia Pacific, where the fear of flu contagion slashed international travel, partially skews the figures and thus explains some of the extraordinary increases we observe this month.”

Cancun (+108%) and Mexico City (+46%) are straightforward examples, while overall the Latin America-Caribbean region was supported by continued strong domestic traffic growth as seen in Brazil and Argentina. Airports in North America that suffered from the H1N1 outbreak but have now rebounded include Dallas Fort Worth (+20%), Los Angeles (+16%), Toronto Pearson (+14%), New York JFK (+11%) and Miami (+10.5%).

Domestic traffic in North America (+0.8%) continues to stagnate as carriers are focused on increasing yields and load factors. The airports growing in the domestic market are New York LGA (+15%), Boston (+7%), Baltimore (+5%) and San Francisco (+5%). All these airports see expansion of services by Southwest and Virgin America respectively. Cincinnati (-31% total) is suffering from being dropped as a hub of Delta Airlines.

In Europe, Russia and Turkey brighten up overall figures and much of the traffic increase can be attributed to traffic between these two countries. The seven top performing airports in May are located in these regions reporting growth rates between 20% and 100%. Airports in the UK continue to suffer declines as aviation taxes, weak currency and British Airways cabin crew strikes take a toll on the industry.

Schimm observes, "It is a worry to see all nine UK airports in the sample with negative figures. The UK represents one of the world's largest aviation markets yet is the only significant market in 2010 together with Ireland that keeps shrinking. First quarter passenger volumes in the UK were already 3 percent down on top of the declines a year earlier. Adding additional pressure by increasing so-called green taxes and driving passengers away through strike action is not the recipe to turn the situation around."

In the Asia-Pacific region, international passenger traffic in China rose significantly in part due to the beginning of the Expo 2010 in Shanghai. Bangkok was the only airport in the region with a decline (-10%), the result of violent unrest in the center of Bangkok. Overall the major hubs in the region reported double-digit growth, in part a result of declines in May 2009. Results for five months of the year are encouragingly steady with international traffic and domestic travel rising strongly (+14.8% and+10.7 respectively).

In the Middle East, May traffic was business as usual with Muscat (Oman) leading growth at +26 percent followed by Beirut (+21%), Dubai (+14%) and Abu Dhabi (+12%). In the Africa region, popular tourist destinations Cairo (+13.6), Hurghada (+25%) Marrakech (+17) and Sharm el Sheik (+21.5%) were notable leaders in growth.

Air freight growth is dominated by demand for international shipments. Important international freight hubs such as Shanghai Pudong (+59%), Hong Kong (+42%), Taipei (+53%), Chicago O'Hare (+47%), Dubai (+33.5%), New York JFK (+32%) and Frankfurt (+40%) registered record volume increases.

Schimm says, “Worldwide freight growth wins the spotlight this month with a 27 percent increase worldwide and an even more spectacular 35 percent rise for international freight. Air freight remains on track to reach or exceed pre-crisis levels in the second quarter. The strong upward trend is still intact which bodes well for a sustained global economic recovery."

Table 1: Summary Worldwide Traffic Results, MAY 2009 (% change)
	May 2010 over  Feb 2008		YTD May 2010	Rolling 12 months,  through  May 2010
PaxFlash
International passenger		10.3	5.9	1.4
Domestic passenger		5.8	5.1	4.2
Total passenger		7.9	5.5	2.8
FreightFlash
International freight		34.6	31.5	11.1
Domestic freight		12.3	11.4	6.3
Total freight		26.8	23.8	9.2